If your investment is not able to beat inflation its
worthless investment because, it is losing its real value with time. Most of
the safe investment options offer you a return that is just good enough to beat
inflation. There have been several instances in last 15 years when the return
on fixed deposit, which is a safe fixed income investment option, was even less
than the inflation rate. So such an investment at best helps you just to hold
on to the value of your saving. It does not give you any extra return. So unless
an investment generates a return much more than inflation it cannot be
considered a good investment.
Will tell you how equity mutual fund helps you generate
higher return and what should be your basic preparation when going for equity
mutual fund investment.
Let us understand how
inflation and return are linked
Let us consider a scenario in which you have Rs 1 lakh of
saving at present and wish to invest it for next 15 years during which
inflation remains at 7%. Now, Depending upon your investment option and annual
return it generates your maturity amount will vary. If your safe investment
generates an annual return of 6% return, your saving will lose its value over
15 years and will be worth only Rs 86,005. If you manage to generate a return
equal to inflation that is 7% then your savings will just be able to maintain
it value of Rs 1 lakh. At 8% return your savings will grow to Rs 1.16 lakh. At
9% it will grow to Rs 1.34 lakh. At 10% it will grow to Rs 1.56 lakh. At 12%
you will have a corpus of Rs 2.07 lakh. Similarly at 15% your investment will
grow to Rs 3.17 lakh. But the question now is how to generate a return which
continuously beats inflation in the long run.
How equity beats
inflation and gives superior return
The answer is that your money should work hard and generate
higher return rather than just holding on its value against inflation. To do so
you will need to look for equity investment which is known to generate higher
return over a long period. We can verify this with Sensex which gives us
indication of broader equity market return. For instance, for any investment period
of 15 years from January 1980 till February 2004 your return on investment
would have been more than 9% at 97% of the occasions.
At around 94% occasions
your return would have been more than 10%.
At around 80% occasions your return
would have been more than 12%.
Maturity amount on
monthly investment at different return
When the time horizon for your equity investment is long the
best way is to go for small but regular investment. If you go for a monthly
investment of Rs 5,000 for a period of 15 years then at 8% annual return the
maturity amount that you will get after 15 years will be Rs 16.88 lakh. If the
rate goes up to 9% then the maturity amount rises to Rs 18.33 lakh. At 10%
annual return you will get an amount of Rs 19.92 lakh.
However if your return
on investment is 12% you will get Rs 23.57 lakh. And in case the return is 15%
then the maturity amount rises to Rs 30.46 lakh. Such high return is rarely
possible through fixed deposits which are safe but give very low return. So, your
best chance to generate high return is to invest in equities.
Invest in equity
through MF
Though equities offer best return potential but also come
with a corresponding risk. So unless you understand the risk, getting into
equities blindly could be a risky proposition. First thing you should keep in
mind is that equities investment needs high level of capital market knowledge,
excellent skill to indentify right investment opportunities and superior expertise
to manage investments. Having these skills is not everybody’s cup of tea.
However, there are market experts who are skillful in managing investment and also
offer their services to layman investors. This is done through an investment
tool called Mutual Fund which offers such a mechanism in which experts manage
investment for a large pool of small investors. They keep a track of market movement
round the clock. Therefore it is best for a new investor to invest in equities
through mutual funds. While fund managers work on your investment you can
concentrate on increasing your income and savings. With time as your market
awareness grows and you become confident about stocks you can start investing
directly into equities.
Manage your exposure
based on your risk appetite
Even when you invest in equities through MF it does not
become completely risk free and will be subjected to market related
volatilities. As one should not keep all eggs in one basket similarly even though
equities have high return potential, you should not put all your savings
completely in equities. You should assess your risk appetite and limit your
equity exposure accordingly.
Your ability to take risk will depend upon many factors such
as assets, liabilities, income, expenses, future goals, time left to achieve
these goals, stability of future income, risk mitigation measures such as
insurance and so on. However it will be difficult for you do the exercise of
assessing exact risk appetite without a professional financial planner. But
there is an alternative in terms of a simple way of doing it. You can follow a
thumb rule of measuring your risk appetite. This is called rule of 100. 100
minus your age is your risk appetite. This gives you a broad indication of how
much of your savings should go towards equity investment. So if your age is 30
years your risk appetite is 70% so you can investment upto 70% of your savings
in equities for long term. Similarly if your age is 50 years you should not
invest more than 50% in equities. If your age is 70 years you should not have
more than 30% exposure in equities.
Regular Review is a must
Equity Mutual Fund investment is a field in which you cannot
rest indefinitely after parking your money. Due to heightened competitions
among the established companies and rush among startups jostling to break into
the league of successful companies, the scenario may change very quickly.
Though you get some sense of relief by investing in MF as you do not have to
monitor your investment on day to day basis which otherwise is required in the
case of direct stock trading, however you would at least need to review your
investment into equity mutual funds on a quarterly basis, which is after
interval of 3 months.